Will Gavin Newsom become president by 2032?

25%

Market YES

75%

Market NO

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Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

Verdict

28.5%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +3.5 pts

Gavin Newsom has a low probability of becoming president by 2032.

The current market probability indicates a 25% chance of Gavin Newsom becoming president by 2032, with a stronger consensus against it at 75%. The Pulse AI probability slightly favors a YES at 28.5%, but overall confidence remains low at 45 out of 100, suggesting uncertainty in the market's assessment.

AI Market Analysis

1 Market sentiment leans heavily towards NO at 75%.
2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for YES at 28.5%.
3 Confidence level is low at 45 out of 100, indicating uncertainty.
4 Time to expiry is extensive at over 53000 hours, allowing for potential shifts.
5 Edge of 3.5 suggests insufficient data for a confident assessment.