Will Gavin Newsom become president in 2028?

Gavin Newsom has a 16% chance of becoming president in 2028 according to the market.

The prediction market indicates a low probability of 16% for Gavin Newsom's presidential candidacy in 2028, with a stronger consensus against it at 84%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 22%, indicating a potential undervaluation of the YES side by 6 points.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors the NO side at 84%.
• 2 The YES side shows a potential undervaluation of 6 points compared to market odds.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 45 out of 100, indicating uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial at over 24621 hours, allowing for potential changes.
• 5 Political landscape shifts could significantly impact Newsom's chances.