Markets / Politics / Will George Soros live to see the 2029 US presidential inaug...
Manifold Politics Expires in 891 days OPEN

Will George Soros live to see the 2029 US presidential inauguration?

56.11%
Market YES
43.89%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
TOO CLOSE
Verdict
48.64%
AI YES
40
Confidence
35
Reliability
Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +3.5 pts

Market shows a close probability on George Soros living to see the 2029 inauguration.

The prediction market indicates a slight edge towards George Soros not living to see the 2029 US presidential inauguration, with a probability of 54.86% for 'NO'. The AI probability is slightly more optimistic at 48.64% for 'YES', reflecting uncertainty in the assessment.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market probability leans towards 'NO' at 54.86%.
  • 2 AI model suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 48.64%.
  • 3 The edge of 3.5 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment.
  • 4 Confidence level is low at 40/100, reflecting uncertainty in predictions.
  • 5 Time to expiry is significant at 24824 hours, allowing for potential shifts.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Health updates or medical reports regarding George Soros
Major political events impacting public interest in Soros
Changes in public sentiment or media coverage about Soros
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $2,460
Liquidity $0
Resolves 20 Jan 2029
Status Open
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