Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?

The market shows a slight edge for ICE deployment at polling stations in 2026.

With a market probability of 51.86% for deployment and an AI probability of 47.36%, opinions are closely divided. The confidence level of 55/100 indicates moderate uncertainty surrounding this prediction.

• 1 Market sentiment is narrowly in favor of ICE deployment.
• 2 The probabilities suggest a competitive debate on the issue.
• 3 Current confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for potential developments to influence opinions.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced based on the edge of -4.5.