Will Joe Biden die of prostate cancer by EOY 2027?

Market indicates a low probability of Biden dying from prostate cancer by 2027.

The prediction market shows a 21.74% probability for Joe Biden dying of prostate cancer by the end of 2027, with a majority (78.26%) believing he will not. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 25.24%, suggesting some uncertainty remains. However, the edge of 3.5 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards Biden surviving past 2027.
• 2 The difference between market probability and AI probability indicates some divergence in expectations.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 45/100, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment as new information arises.
• 5 Market liquidity appears limited, which may affect the accuracy of the predictions.