Markets / Politics / Will Kamala Harris be elected President in 2028?...
Manifold Politics Expires in 817 days OPEN

Will Kamala Harris be elected President in 2028?

3%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
9.07%
AI YES
45
Confidence
45
Reliability
YES side may be undervalued Edge: +6 pts

Kamala Harris has a low probability of being elected President in 2028.

The market shows a strong consensus against Kamala Harris being elected President in 2028, with a 96.93% probability of 'NO'. Despite a slightly higher AI probability of 9.07% for 'YES', the overall sentiment remains firmly against her candidacy.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market probability strongly favors 'NO' at 96.93%.
  • 2 AI probability suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 9.07%.
  • 3 The edge indicates the 'YES' side may be undervalued by 6 points.
  • 4 Confidence level is moderate at 45/100, reflecting uncertainty.
  • 5 Time to expiry is extensive at 23214 hours, allowing for potential shifts.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Significant shifts in public opinion or approval ratings
Major political events or endorsements that boost her profile
Changes in the Democratic primary landscape or candidates
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $1,620
Liquidity $0
Resolves 06 Nov 2028
Status Open
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