Will Pritzker, Newsome, or any other state governor attempt to have the state police arrest ICE agents by July 2026?

Low probability for governors attempting to arrest ICE agents by July 2026.

The market indicates a strong likelihood against state governors attempting to have ICE agents arrested, with a NO probability of 82.45%. However, the AI model suggests a slightly higher chance of 23.55% for a YES outcome, indicating potential undervaluation of this scenario. The confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting some uncertainty in the predictions.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome at 82.45%.
• 2 AI probability suggests a slightly higher chance for a YES outcome at 23.55%.
• 3 The edge of 6 points indicates potential undervaluation of the YES side.
• 4 Confidence in the prediction is moderate at 60/100, suggesting room for uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is significant at 2620 hours, allowing for potential developments.