Will Saikat Chakrabarti be elected to Congress in 2026?

Low probability of Saikat Chakrabarti being elected to Congress in 2026.

The prediction market shows a 20.86% chance of Saikat Chakrabarti being elected to Congress in 2026, with a consensus leaning towards 'NO' at 79.14%. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 22.36%, indicating a modest divergence in sentiment but overall agreement on low likelihood.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors 'NO' for Chakrabarti's election.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the Pulse AI estimate.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.