Will Slovenia hold a referendum on NATO membership or military expenditure by the end of April 2026?

Low probability for a referendum on NATO membership or military spending in Slovenia by April 2026.

The current market indicates a strong consensus against the likelihood of Slovenia holding a referendum on NATO membership or military expenditure before April 2026. With a market probability of 1.32% for 'YES', the sentiment leans heavily towards 'NO', despite a slightly higher prediction from Pulse AI at 9.32%. The edge of 8 suggests that there is insufficient data for a confident assessment of this market.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for a 'YES' outcome than the market.
• 3 The edge of 8 indicates limited data for a confident prediction.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, reflecting uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 1186 hours, allowing for potential developments.