Will the 2028 US presidential election occur "as normal"?

The market indicates a strong belief the 2028 US presidential election will proceed normally.

With a market probability of 75.21% for a normal election, there is significant confidence in this outcome. However, the Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly lower confidence at 68.21%, indicating some potential for uncertainty. The edge of -7 points for the NO side suggests that it may be undervalued in the current market context.

• 1 Current sentiment favors a normal election with high confidence.
• 2 The market shows a notable discrepancy between YES and NO probabilities.
• 3 The confidence level of 45/100 indicates moderate uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Liquidity in the market may influence the accuracy of predictions.