Will the democratic party win the 2026 california gubernatorial election?

The Democratic Party is favored to win the 2026 California gubernatorial election.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong belief in a Democratic victory at 90.31%. However, the Pulse AI gives a slightly lower probability of 81.31%, suggesting some uncertainty. The edge score of -9 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment.

• 1 High market probability suggests strong confidence in a Democratic win.
• 2 Pulse AI reflects a slightly more cautious outlook.
• 3 Edge score indicates limited data for a definitive prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in public opinion.
• 5 Current political landscape favors the Democratic Party in California.