Will the president elected in 2024 complete his or her term?

The market indicates a strong belief the 2024 president will complete their term.

Current market probabilities suggest a 77.14% likelihood that the president elected in 2024 will finish their term. However, the Pulse AI probability is lower at 70.14%, indicating a potential undervaluation of the NO side by 7 points. With a confidence level of 45/100 and a significant time until expiry, market sentiment may still shift.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors the president completing their term.
• 2 The NO side is perceived as undervalued, suggesting potential for adjustment.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate at 45/100, indicating uncertainty.
• 4 The long time to expiry (24561 hours) allows for significant developments.
• 5 External factors like health or scandals could impact the outcome.