Will the US Congress override a Trump veto before the mid-term elections in November 2026?

Low probability of Congress overriding a Trump veto before November 2026.

The current market indicates a 6% probability of Congress overriding a Trump veto, with a strong majority (94%) expecting it will not happen. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 14%, but overall confidence in the prediction remains moderate at 55 out of 100. With over 5396 hours until the mid-term elections, the situation may evolve as political dynamics change.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Political landscape could shift significantly before the elections.
• 3 Historical trends show veto overrides are rare.
• 4 Market liquidity appears limited, impacting confidence levels.
• 5 Time until expiry allows for potential developments in Congress.