Markets / Politics / Will there be a significant polling error at the 2026 US mid...

Manifold Politics Expires in 112 days OPEN

Will there be a significant polling error at the 2026 US midterm elections?

69.48%

Market YES

30.52%

Market NO

Pulse Score

Model v1 · Not financial advice

YES

Verdict

60.48%

AI YES

Confidence

Reliability

Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: -9 pts

Pulse verdict: YES — confidence 50/100. Insufficient data for a confident assessment.

AI Market Analysis

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Price History

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Market Info

Platform Manifold

Volume $214

Liquidity $0

Resolves 30 Nov 2026

Status Open

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