Will there be ceasefires in the Ukraine/Russia and Israel/Hamas wars during the Trump presidency?

Market predicts a 68.54% chance of ceasefires during Trump's presidency.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief in the likelihood of ceasefires occurring in both the Ukraine/Russia and Israel/Hamas conflicts during the Trump presidency, with a probability of 68.54%. However, the AI probability suggests a slightly lower confidence at 61.54%, indicating potential undervaluation of the NO side by 7 points.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors ceasefires significantly.
• 2 The NO side is perceived as undervalued by 7 points.
• 3 AI probability reflects a slightly more cautious outlook.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 45 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive at over 24586 hours.