Markets / Politics / Will Trump apologize for anything in 2026?...
Manifold Politics Expires in 94 days OPEN

Will Trump apologize for anything in 2026?

8.9%
Market YES
91.1%
Market NO
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Pulse Score
Model v1 · Not financial advice
NO
Verdict
26.33%
AI YES
50
Confidence
35
Reliability
Insufficient data for confident assessment Edge: +8 pts

Market shows low probability for Trump to apologize in 2026.

The prediction market indicates an 81.67% probability that Trump will not apologize for anything in 2026, with a lower probability of 18.33% for a yes. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher likelihood for an apology at 26.33%, but overall confidence in the market remains moderate at 50 out of 100.

AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current sentiment leans heavily towards Trump not apologizing.
  • 2 The market shows a clear divide between human and AI probabilities.
  • 3 Historical trends suggest Trump is unlikely to apologize publicly.
  • 4 Liquidity in this market appears limited, affecting confidence levels.
  • 5 Time until expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
What Could Change This
Significant political scandal involving Trump
Public opinion shifts dramatically against Trump
Major media coverage highlighting the need for an apology
Price History
Price history is building — check back in a few hours.
Market Info
Platform Manifold
Volume $828
Liquidity $0
Resolves 31 Dec 2026
Status Open
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