Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump Cabinet this year?

Market shows a close split on whether Tulsi Gabbard will leave the Trump Cabinet this year.

The prediction market indicates a nearly even split, with a slight lean towards Gabbard remaining in the Cabinet. The probabilities suggest uncertainty, as both the market and AI predictions are closely aligned. With a confidence level of 55/100 and a time to expiry of nearly 290 days, there is ample time for developments to influence the outcome.

• 1 Current market probability shows a slight preference for Gabbard staying in the Cabinet.
• 2 The market is considered fairly priced with a low edge of 1.5.
• 3 AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating consensus.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome.
• 5 The long time to expiry allows for potential shifts in political circumstances.