Will two Republicans win in California's June 2026 gubernatorial primary?

The market shows a low probability for two Republicans winning in California's 2026 primary.

Currently, the market indicates a 10% chance that two Republicans will win in California's June 2026 gubernatorial primary, with a strong consensus against this outcome at 90%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 16%, indicating that the YES side may be undervalued by 6 points, though overall confidence remains moderate at 55 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors the NO side at 90%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher chance for YES at 16%.
• 3 The YES side is considered undervalued by 6 points.
• 4 Confidence in the market is moderate, rated at 55 out of 100.
• 5 Time until expiry is substantial at 2493 hours, allowing for potential shifts.