Will Viktor Orban remain Hungary's prime minister after the 2026 elections?

The market suggests a low probability of Orban remaining prime minister after 2026.

Current market probabilities indicate a 30.8% chance that Viktor Orban will remain in office after the 2026 elections, with a stronger sentiment against his continuation. The Pulse AI model aligns closely with these figures, suggesting a slight increase in confidence for the 'YES' outcome. Overall, the market appears to be fairly priced with a confidence level of 55 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards Orban not remaining in power.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI predictions is minimal.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in the outcome.
• 4 Time until the election may influence voter sentiment and market dynamics.
• 5 Political landscape changes could rapidly alter market probabilities.