2026 Balance of Power: Other

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for the 2026 Balance of Power: Other.

With a market probability of 99.25% for NO and 0.75% for YES, participants overwhelmingly expect no significant changes in the balance of power. The Pulse AI probability also reflects this sentiment, indicating a strong consensus against the YES outcome. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability gap suggests low confidence in a YES outcome.
• 3 Historical trends indicate stability in the current balance of power.
• 4 Liquidity in the market is moderate, reflecting cautious participation.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts but current indicators remain strong.

This market will resolve according to the result of the 2026 United States midterm elections.

A party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Representatives, if they win a majority of voting seats.

A party will be considered to have 'control' of the Senate if they have more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice President.

A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

If control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If control of