Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Low probability for Putin leaving office by June 30, with market favoring his continuation.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Vladimir Putin will remain President of Russia until at least June 30, with a 95.6% probability of 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for a potential exit, suggesting a consensus on his stability in power.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors Putin's continuation in office.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests a consensus on stability.
• 3 Political dynamics in Russia remain relatively stable at this time.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears adequate for current trading activity.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential developments but shows low urgency.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia's president, Vladimir Putin, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

President Vladimir Putin will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Russia within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.