SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?

The market shows low confidence in the SAVE Act becoming law by April 2026.

With a market probability of only 8.5% for the SAVE Act becoming law by April 30, 2026, and a Pulse AI probability of 11.5%, the consensus leans heavily towards a 'NO' outcome. The confidence level of 80/100 suggests a strong belief in this assessment, indicating that significant legislative hurdles may be anticipated.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against the SAVE Act passing.
• 2 Legislative dynamics and political climate are critical factors influencing the market.
• 3 Historical data suggests low passage rates for similar legislation under current conditions.
• 4 Liquidity in the market is moderate, reflecting cautious investor sentiment.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with only 1148 hours until the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any bill, measure, or resolution that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition for registering to vote or to vote in U.S. federal elections is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law, or is otherwise enacted into U.S. federal law, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Examples of qualifying legislation include H.R. 22, the “SAVE Act,” and H.R. 7296, the “SAVE America Act.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.