Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

The market shows a low probability for Ukraine elections by June 30, 2026.

With a market probability of 12.5% for elections being called by the specified date, the consensus leans heavily towards 'NO' at 87.5%. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating a general skepticism about the likelihood of elections occurring within this timeframe.

• 1 Current market sentiment is predominantly against elections by the deadline.
• 2 Political stability in Ukraine remains a key factor influencing predictions.
• 3 Historical trends suggest elections may be delayed due to ongoing conflicts.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears moderate, reflecting cautious investor interest.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to the predictions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.