Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?

The market strongly favors that Venezuela will not hold elections by March 31, 2026.

Current market probabilities indicate a 97.4% likelihood that Venezuela will not hold elections by the specified date. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for a YES outcome. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong NO sentiment at 97.4%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a lower but still strong NO probability at 94.4%.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates that the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Current confidence level is moderate at 75 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 507 hours, adding urgency to the situation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030.

This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.