Will Adal Regis be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?

Adal Regis has a very low chance of being the Democratic nominee for IL-02.

The prediction market shows a dominant probability against Adal Regis as the Democratic nominee for IL-02, with a 99.85% likelihood of 'NO.' The Pulse AI also reflects skepticism, assigning a 95.35% chance to 'NO,' suggesting that current sentiment strongly favors other candidates.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.85%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a low chance of 4.65% for 'YES.'
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 111 hours.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.