Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ahn Cheol-soo is unlikely to win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong belief that Ahn Cheol-soo will not win the upcoming election, with a 98.3% NO probability. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance of 6.2% for a YES outcome, but overall confidence remains moderate at 60/100, indicating uncertainty in the predictions.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against Ahn Cheol-soo's victory.
• 2 Current sentiment leans heavily towards a NO outcome.
• 3 The Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher probability for a YES outcome.
• 4 Market confidence is moderate, suggesting potential volatility.
• 5 Time until election is significant, allowing for potential shifts in public opinion.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.