Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ocasio-Cortez has low odds for the 2028 Democratic nomination at 8.10%.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will not secure the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, with a probability of only 8.10% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, albeit with slightly higher odds at 11.1%, suggesting a consensus on her low chances.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The market probability suggests Ocasio-Cortez is a long shot for the nomination.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced based on available data.
• 4 Confidence level of 80/100 suggests strong conviction in the current probabilities.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential shifts in the political climate.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.