Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Market indicates low probability for Ocasio-Cortez winning the 2028 election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez winning the 2028 US Presidential Election, with a probability of 5.85% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a slightly higher probability of 8.85%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against her candidacy.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests limited optimism.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in current predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in dynamics.
• 5 Market appears to be well-balanced, reflecting accurate pricing.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.