Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Amanda Lind is unlikely to become the next Prime Minister of Sweden.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Amanda Lind becoming the next Prime Minister, with a 99.65% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 4.85% for 'YES', indicating limited confidence in her candidacy.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors 'NO' at 99.65%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a low likelihood of 4.85% for 'YES'.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 4418 hours, allowing for potential political developments.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.