Will Andrew Shelley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?

Andrew Shelley is unlikely to be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong consensus against Andrew Shelley being the Republican nominee, with a 99.75% chance of 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 4.75% for 'YES', suggesting limited confidence in his candidacy.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming skepticism about Shelley's nomination.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher but still low probability for Shelley.
• 3 Current confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty in the market.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential changes in dynamics.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.

If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.