Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

The market strongly favors Andrew Yang not winning the 2028 Democratic nomination.

Current market probabilities indicate a low likelihood of Andrew Yang securing the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, with a 99.35% chance of 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability of 3.65% for 'YES', suggesting that while the market is confident in a 'NO' outcome, there may be some underlying factors that could influence perceptions.

• 1 Market probability shows overwhelming confidence in a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for Yang than the market indicates.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced based on current data.
• 4 Confidence level of 80/100 reflects strong market sentiment.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in the political landscape.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.