Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Market indicates low probability for Andy Beshear winning the 2028 Democratic nomination.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Andy Beshear winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, with a probability of only 2.20% for a YES outcome. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI's assessment, which estimates a 5.2% chance for a YES, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge. The high NO probability reflects skepticism about his candidacy at this stage.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against Beshear's nomination.
• 2 The market probability is closely aligned with the AI's assessment.
• 3 An edge of 3 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 80 indicates a strong belief in the current probabilities.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.