Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Low probability for Anna-Karin Hatt as next Prime Minister of Sweden.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus against Anna-Karin Hatt becoming the next Prime Minister, with a 99.65% probability of NO. The AI probability also reflects a low likelihood, suggesting limited confidence in her candidacy despite a relatively fair pricing edge.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO for Hatt's candidacy.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with AI predictions.
• 3 A low confidence score indicates uncertainty in the current political landscape.
• 4 Time to expiry suggests ample opportunity for events to influence probabilities.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting a balanced market environment.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.