Will Anthony Driver Jr. be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?

Low probability for Anthony Driver Jr. as the Democratic nominee for IL-07.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood that Anthony Driver Jr. will not be the Democratic nominee for IL-07, with a 97.95% probability against his nomination. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability of 6.55% for a YES outcome, suggesting some uncertainty. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The market probability is closely aligned with the AI's assessment.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the current predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 129 hours, adding urgency.
• 5 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting the current pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.