Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?

The market strongly favors Villaraigosa losing the 2026 California Governor Election.

Current market probabilities indicate a high likelihood of Antonio Villaraigosa not winning the 2026 California Governor Election, with a 99.45% chance of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting a significant consensus against his victory.

• 1 Market shows a strong NO sentiment at 99.45%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market, indicating low confidence in a YES outcome.
• 3 The edge of 4.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 5694 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.