Will Awisi Bustos be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Awisi Bustos is highly unlikely to be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Awisi Bustos being the Democratic nominee, with a 99.95% probability of 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of her nomination at 3.05%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a moderate confidence level.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors 'NO' at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 3.05%.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Current confidence level is moderate at 65/100.
• 5 No specific time to expiry is provided, adding uncertainty.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois.

If no 2026 Illinois Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Illinois Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.