Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Bernadette Wilson has a low probability of winning the 2026 Alaska governor election.

The market indicates a 23.5% chance of Bernadette Wilson winning the 2026 Alaska governor election, suggesting a strong likelihood of her losing. With a confidence level of 60 out of 100, the market appears to be fairly priced, reflecting current sentiments and expectations.

• 1 Current market probability favors 'NO' at 76.5%.
• 2 Confidence in the market is moderate at 60/100.
• 3 The time to expiry is substantial at 5535 hours.
• 4 No edge indicates the market is well-balanced.
• 5 Factors influencing the outcome include political endorsements and public sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.