Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

The market strongly favors Bernie Sanders not winning the 2028 nomination.

Current market probabilities indicate a low likelihood of Bernie Sanders winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, with a 0.55% chance of a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects skepticism, estimating a 3.55% chance for YES. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.45%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 3.55%.
• 3 The edge of 3 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is high at 80/100, suggesting strong conviction in current probabilities.
• 5 Time to expiry is substantial at 22845 hours, allowing for potential shifts in the political landscape.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.