Will Brian Stover win the GA-14 special election?

Brian Stover is highly unlikely to win the GA-14 special election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Brian Stover winning the GA-14 special election, with a 99.95% probability of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 4.55% for a YES outcome, indicating skepticism about his chances. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors a NO outcome at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for YES at 4.55%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60 out of 100.
• 5 No specific time to expiry is provided, adding uncertainty.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.