Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Bulgaria is unlikely to win the Eurovision 2026 televote based on current predictions.

The prediction market indicates a low probability of Bulgaria winning the televote for Eurovision 2026, with a consensus of 98.95% for a NO outcome. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 5.55% for a YES, but overall confidence remains moderate at 55/100, indicating uncertainty in the market.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Bulgaria.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the Pulse AI's assessment.
• 3 Bulgaria's historical performance in Eurovision may influence perceptions.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears stable, reflecting consistent interest.
• 5 Time until the event allows for potential shifts in public opinion.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.