Will Carlos Zavaleta win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?

Carlos Zavaleta is unlikely to win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Carlos Zavaleta winning, with a 99.45% probability of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 5.05% for a YES outcome, indicating a significant gap in expectations. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Zavaleta's chances are perceived as very low by both market and AI.
• 3 The market is considered fairly priced with a slight edge.
• 4 Confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is limited, adding urgency to market dynamics.

The Cochabamba mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).