Will CaSándra Claiborne be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?

CaSándra Claiborne is unlikely to be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against CaSándra Claiborne being the Republican nominee, with a high NO probability of 99.3%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, indicating a low likelihood of her nomination at 5.2%. Overall, the market appears to be fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.3%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a low chance of 5.2% for YES.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 92 hours.
• 5 Market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 4.5.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Illinois.

If no 2026 Illinois Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.