Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Chad Bianco has a low chance of winning the 2026 California Governor Election.

The prediction market shows a 10.65% probability for Chad Bianco winning the California Governor Election in 2026, indicating significant skepticism about his candidacy. The Pulse AI probability is slightly higher at 13.65%, but both figures suggest a strong likelihood of him not winning. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Bianco's support remains low compared to potential opponents.
• 3 The market is stable with a fair pricing edge of 3.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts.
• 5 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in current predictions.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.