Will Chi Hyun Chung win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Chi Hyun Chung has a very low chance of winning the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Chi Hyun Chung winning the election, with a probability of only 0.05% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood, suggesting minimal support for his candidacy. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against Chung's candidacy.
• 2 The probability of Chung winning is significantly lower than the AI's estimate.
• 3 Market confidence indicates a stable outlook with little volatility expected.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, limiting potential changes in market dynamics.
• 5 Liquidity appears sufficient for current trading activity.

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).