Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Cho Eun-hee has a low chance of winning the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Cho Eun-hee winning, with a probability of only 0.25% for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a 3.25% chance of victory. Overall, the market appears fairly priced, suggesting limited room for significant shifts in sentiment at this time.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Cho Eun-hee's support is significantly lower than her competitors.
• 3 The market is currently stable with no major volatility.
• 4 Time until the election allows for potential shifts in dynamics.
• 5 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the current predictions.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.