Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Chong Won-oh is favored to win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election with high probability.

The market shows a strong probability of 83.50% for Chong Won-oh's victory in the upcoming election, supported by a Pulse AI probability of 78%. However, the NO side appears undervalued by 5.5 points, indicating potential market skepticism about the current odds.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors Chong Won-oh's victory.
• 2 The high confidence level suggests a strong belief in the current odds.
• 3 Market edge indicates potential undervaluation of the NO side.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for significant developments to impact probabilities.
• 5 Liquidity may influence market adjustments as the election date approaches.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.