Will Christopher Bouchat win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Christopher Bouchat has a low chance of winning the Republican primary.

The prediction market indicates a 5.5% probability of Christopher Bouchat winning the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary, with a consensus leaning heavily towards a 'NO' outcome. The Pulse AI probability further supports this view, suggesting a 8.5% chance for a 'YES' outcome, indicating that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge towards the 'NO' side.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a 'NO' outcome for Bouchat.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the AI's assessment.
• 3 Bouchat's current support is low compared to potential competitors.
• 4 The confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the current predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in the political landscape.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.