Will Clarence Blalock win the GA-14 special election?

Clarence Blalock is highly unlikely to win the GA-14 special election.

The prediction market shows a 0.05% probability for Blalock's victory, indicating a strong consensus against his chances. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 3.05%, suggesting that while there is a slight chance, it remains highly unfavorable. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Market consensus strongly favors a NO outcome for Blalock.
• 2 Current sentiment indicates minimal support for his candidacy.
• 3 Historical trends suggest low chances for underdog candidates in special elections.
• 4 Liquidity in the market is low, reflecting limited betting activity.
• 5 The time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.