Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Claudia López has a low chance of winning the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

The prediction market indicates a 0.55% probability of Claudia López winning, while the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher 3.55%. With a strong consensus against her candidacy, the market appears fairly priced, reflecting a low confidence in her electoral prospects.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the AI's assessment.
• 3 López's historical performance may influence current perceptions.
• 4 The time to expiry allows for potential changes in the political climate.
• 5 Liquidity in the market suggests stable trading conditions.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).