Will Clayton Fuller win the GA-14 special election?

Clayton Fuller is highly favored to win the GA-14 special election.

The prediction market shows a strong probability of 95.35% for Clayton Fuller to win the GA-14 special election, indicating significant confidence among participants. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 91.35%, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge of -4. The confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Market probability indicates strong support for Fuller's victory.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment.
• 3 The edge of -4 suggests the market is accurately priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 reflects moderate certainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to the prediction.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 special election for the seat for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. The special election should take place no later than February 15, 2026.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If no winner is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://sos.ga.gov/.